Our tipster Jones Knows has four big prices to target this weekend as he anticipates easy wins for Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester City.
How was last weekend?
Although my great desire for Tottenham to win by one goal over Chelsea was officially only one goal short, it is safe to say that I have overrated Tottenham this season based on their performance at Stamford Bridge. They were very lucky to escape with a draw despite expected goals data suggesting it was a close game. Chelsea, who were excellent, seem ready for the best of the rest this season, not Spurs. I am in Antonio Conte’s men to pick up a trophy, but they will need to play with more personality and spark against elite teams if they are to go all the way in a competition this season.
It was a losing weekend of four points in total as Joe Willock failed to score for Newcastle vs Brighton while Fulham beat Wolves and the game to have 50 or more points booked at 7/1 also went south in an exciting way. Aleksandar Mitrovic’s missed penalty in a game that produced the goods in terms of cards can certainly be filed in the ‘bad beat’ cabinet. It is well stocked over the years. Hello old friends, good to see you again.
LP+L = -0.5
1 point at Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City all to win to nil (16/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
We landed a similar bet in the early stages of last season, so it seemed like a smart move to attempt to repeat the feat with three in-form teams that have the defensive capabilities to keep a clean sheet on the road against some hit-and-runs. miss attacks. Read the full reasoning for each game in the prediction article here.
1 point at Southampton to win at half time and at full time against Leicester (13/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
At home, in a game that fans expect them to win comfortably, things can get tough for Leicester players to perform, especially against a Southampton side who have a deadly record in getting games off to a flying start. If you scoff at a league table that includes only results from the first half of last season, the Saints would be sixth, having come into half-time ahead in 13 of their 38 Premier League games.
They also took the lead at Tottenham before their capitulation in the second half on opening day.
If the Foxes fall behind, I would have serious doubts as to whether the players in the current atmosphere can show the mindset and bottle necessary to change the game. Rodgers’ side have won just one of the last 14 Premier League games when they conceded first, losing nine.
1 point over Marc Cucurella to score at any time vs Leeds (1/18 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Marc Cucurella’s smart, aggressive and classy performance against Tottenham caught my eye as he seems more than capable of demonstrating a departure from the left-back role for Thomas Tuchel. His link game with Mason Mount completely tore the Spurs apart at times. He may not be as explosive at that position as Ben Chilwell or Marcus Alonso, but his positional awareness and his ability on the ball should see his attacking numbers increase over the course of the season.
Players who are drafted into Tuchel’s left-back role are given a lot of attacking license. Last season that player averaged just over a goal in four games and recorded 2.5 shots per 90 minutes. Cucurella has all the makings to match that average, so he seems to have played both in his goal scoring and shot prices in the coming weeks. A player who is likely to score every four games shouldn’t be 18/1 to score at any point against a team he’s halfway to winning on the match market, while Cucurella is 11/4 to make the normal shots. . Two shot average for a Chelsea left-back is also a very attractive value play.
0.5pts on Solly March to score at any time vs West Ham (14/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Solly March, even at the age of 28, appears to be the next player to be taken to the next level by Graham Potter judging by his performances and goal threat over the first two match days. With Tariq Lamptey currently out of form and favored and Pascal Gross playing more forward and central, March appears to have made the right-back position his own.
Predominantly a left-footer, March fits perfectly into my “wide players cutting off the stronger foot” theory which has led to some profitable bets by following Kyle Walker-Peters and Neco Williams when they played for Wales on the shot and goal markets. March has generated an expected goal tally of 0.32 over two games, firing the shot David de Gea gave Pascal Gross in victory at Manchester United before being denied twice by a last-minute defense and goalkeeper against Newcastle. the last weekend. It’s been almost two years since his last Premier League goal, but that has had too much to do with his price to score at the London Stadium.
He shouldn’t be 33/1 to score first or 14/1 to score this weekend. And it is a bet to follow in the coming weeks as long as it remains in that position and in such a good nickname.